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Written by Scott Shelton | Feb 6, 2025 11:10:10 PM

 

Titan America: What History Tells Us

Titan America’s IPO is coming. What does history tell us about similar debuts—and how can traders use this data to their advantage?

In markets, history doesn’t repeat, but it often rhymes. Analog analysis helps us identify comparable past events to frame potential outcomes in present-day IPOs. With Titan America debuting on February 7, we examined past building materials sector IPOs that exhibited bullish signals to see how they performed on their first trading day and over the subsequent 100 days.

 

Comparable Offerings

The table below highlights key details from past IPOs in the sector, providing a benchmark for evaluating Titan America’s positioning.

One-Day Performance

While first-day trading can be volatile, it often provides an early indicator of sentiment. The chart below tracks how these comparable IPOs moved on their debut.

🔹Notably, all offerings traded above their opening price throughout the day, except LOMA, which received a Bear Signal, as denoted by the Red Dot on the series. This is a strong showing for a group of this size, where the median one-day performance was 2.95%.

100-Day Performance

Beyond the opening trade, the long-term picture matters. The following chart illustrates how these IPOs performed over their first 100 days, offering a broader perspective on price trends and market absorption.

Takeaway

These offerings may not have been blockbuster performers, but they’ve generally traded well, making them a useful reference point. This kind of historical benchmarking is exactly what IPO Prophet delivers—quantitative context for real-time decisions.

Titan America’s IPO is on deck. Will history rhyme again?